Slumping FEU faces mountain to climb to get No. 2 seed. See Final Four scenarios
The quotients are not looking good for FEU as Nash Racela and his Tamaraws dispute the No. 2 seed - and the twice-to-beat advantage that goes with it - against Ateneo and Adamson. Jaime Campos

THE elimination round of UAAP Season 79 goes down to its final playdate with Far Eastern University taking on University of the East, and Ateneo slugging it out against Adamson on Wednesday - a doubleheader that was postponed twice, first due to typhoon Karen that battered the country last month.

As it turned out, although the Final Four teams have already been determined, the postponed games have much implications to the seedings, particularly to the three teams seeing action on Wednesday at the Mall of Asia Arena in Ateneo, Adamson, and Far Eastern University.

Before Wednesday’s games, the top four teams are stacked up like this.

DLSU 13-1, Ateneo 9-4, Adamson 8-5, FEU 8-5.

The Blue Eagles are currently the hottest team in the league, having won five straight games to climb to second spot. Also on a roll are the Falcons, who have four straight wins under their belt. One team, however, that is on a struggle is the Tamaraws, who have lost their last three games. gives to you the possible Final Four scenarios that could occur based on the results of Wednesday’s games.

Scenario 1:

FEU wins, Ateneo wins

Ateneo clinches the No. 2 spot at 10-4, with FEU finishing in third spot with a 9-5 record to arrange a semifinal series against the twice-to-beat Blue Eagles. Adamson, meanwhile, goes to No. 4 at 8-6 where it will face twice-to-beat top seed La Salle in the Final Four.

Scenario 2:

UE wins, Ateneo wins

The Blue Eagles take the twice-to-beat advantage by going 10-4, while the Tamaraws will tie the Falcons with an 8-6 slate. With UAAP rules stating that ties between third-place teams are broken by quotient and not a playoff, the Tamaraws will take the third-seed due to a superior quotient of +9 against the Falcons (10-point win in the first round, and one-point loss in the second round), avoiding a 1 vs. 4 tiff against La Salle.


Scenario 3:

UE wins, Adamson wins

The Falcons will tie the Blue Eagles at 10-4, arranging a playoff for the No. 2 seed, while the Tamaraws slide to No. 4 with an 8-6 win-loss card, and go up against La Salle in the Final Four.

Scenario 4:

FEU wins, Adamson wins

This scenario will force a triple-tie for second place among FEU, Adamson and Ateneo on 9-5 slates. Quotients, once again, will be determined to break the tie although based on UAAP rules, when a triple tie occurs for the second-seed, the team with the best two quotients slug it out in a playoff while the team with the lowest quotient automatically goes to No. 4.

In this scenario, the winning margin of Adamson against Ateneo will determine the fate of the three teams in a tie.

a. If Adamson wins by 30 points or less

Adamson and Ateneo will vie for the No. 2 spot in a playoff to determine who will get the twice-to-beat advantage by virtue of their higher quotients.

b. If Adamson wins by 31 points or more

Adamson and FEU will compete in a playoff for the second-seed, with Ateneo falling to fourth with the lopsided defeat by the Falcons.

Simply put:

- Ateneo only needs to win over Adamson to take a twice-to-beat advantage in the Final Four.

- Adamson needs a win to clinch at least a playoff for a twice-to-beat advantage in the Final Four.

- FEU’s chance to make it to No. 2 is very slim as the Tamaraws need to win against UE and hope that Ateneo will lose by 31 points or more to Adamson on Wednesday. The slumping Tamaraws face a mountain to climb, indeed.

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