After last Friday’s doubleheader, only three games remain in the elimination round of the PBA Governors Cup – Powerade vs. B-Meg Saturday in Legazpi City and the Meralco-Barako Bull and Rain or Shine-Talk ‘N Text games Sunday.
Here is how the teams stack up in the standings:
Only the Top 6 teams after the eliminations will advance to the semifinals, which will be a single round-robin affair, like the elims, and with their win-loss records carried over.
The Top 2 teams after the semis will figure in the best-of-seven series for the championship.
The 4-of-5 incentive is in effect in the semis. Meaning, if a team wins 4 of its 5 games in the semis and fails to make it to the Top 2, it will figure in a playoff for a Finals berth against the No. 2 team.
Through last Friday’s games, Rain or Shine, Talk ‘N Text, Barangay Ginebra and Petron Blaze are already assured of place in the semifinals, regardless of Sunday’s result of the RoS-TNT game.
Only two semis berths are up for grabs and fighting it out for those are B-Meg, Meralco, Powerade and Barako Bull.
Alaska and Air21 are already out of the semis picture with their 2-7 records.
The Tropang Texters, Kings and Boosters can still figure in ties at 5-4 at the end of the elims but because of superior quotients, they are still going to be advancing to the next round and won’t be involved in any ensuing playoff game or games for the remaining semis seats.
B-Meg needs to win over Powerade to assure itself of the fifth semis berth. If the Llamados lose in Legazpi, they can still get an outright semis seat if Barako Bull beats Meralco on Sunday. The worst-case scenario for B-Meg is figuring in a playoff for a semis seat.
The Tigers are also in a must-win situation to have a shot at advancing to the next round. If they lose to B-Meg, their remaining chance hinge on a Barako Bull win over Meralco to figure in a double playoff for the last semis berth.
Many are asking why the Llamados still aren’t sure of a semis seat even with their 5-3 record, which is even better than the record of Barangay Ginebra and Petron who are already safely in.
This is because B-Meg will end up with an inferior quotient compared to the Kings and Boosters, and more so if the Tropang Texters also get involved (meaning a TNT loss to RoS on Sunday), in case of ties at 5-4.
In the three previous conferences with this same format, five wins usually turn out to be the magic number to advance to the next round after the end of the elims. It could still happen for this conference at the end of Sunday’s games. If not, well its only because of so many teams are so bunched up in the middle.
The table below of the eight remaining scenarios of how the elims will possibly end should give everyone a clearer picture.
Shown below for easy reference purposes only are the point differentials of the teams that are possibly going to be tied for the last semis berths up for grabs. They are different from the PBA quotient system that is actually going to be used to break ties but very similar and are usually reliable.
No team is going to be eliminated as a result of the PBA quotient system. Ties for the remaining semis berths will be broken via a playoff or double playoff, after the PBA quotient system is applied when necessary.
The complete conduct of resolution of ties after the elims and semis are available at http://www.pba.ph/blogs/entry/277.
This post will be updated after the Powerade-B-Meg game in Legazpi City is over.