JUST how drastic an effect the possible forfeiture of all of Perpetual's wins can have on the NCAA Season 94 landscape?
It could go wild.
Right now, this is how the teams' win-loss records stand:
But if the Altas' wins are nullified, this is how the standings would look like:
So how would it affect the rest of the league?
First, another 18-0 sweep will be a real possibility for Lyceum.
The Pirates' lone loss of the year, an 83-81 defeat to the Altas, would be erased, and if they sweep their next three assignments - against Letran, San Beda, and St. Benilde - then a stepladder semifinals will be in effect for the second straight year.
San Beda, though unaffected by a possible forfeiture of the Altas' wins, could also take a big hit if a sweep does occur.
Currently in second place with their 13-1 card, the Red Lions shall lose their twice-to-beat advantage in the event of another stepladder semis, making it a knockout affair against a dangerous No. 3 seed in Letran.
At first glance, St. Benilde stands as the team that will benefit most from the landmark decision, leapfrogging Perpetual to sit at solo fourth place with its 8-6 slate.
However, pressure is on the Blazers as they own the toughest schedule remaining in the second round, with games slated against contenders San Beda, Lyceum and Letran.
That makes St. Benilde's game against JRU on October 16 an important one as a victory can secure them at least a playoff for the fourth seed.
If the Blazers want to avoid any complication in their bid to make the Final Four - possibly their first since 2002 - they must be able to score an upset against one of those top three teams.
For the other teams chasing the No. 4 seed, this is how things need to play out.
Suddenly, Mapua (6-9) would be back in contention for a playoff spot as it owns the easiest schedule for the teams in the middle of the pack.
The Cardinals need to sweep their next three games against EAC, San Sebastian and Arellano, and hope the Blazers lose all their remaining games.
In case St. Benilde goes 1-3 in its remaining assignments, a playoff is still in play for Mapua as that scenario would see both teams tied with identical 9-9 records.
Arellano can also steal the fourth spot if it sweeps its remaining games against JRU, San Beda, Mapua and San Sebastian, while also needing St. Benilde to lose all of its next assignments.
A playoff is also in play if the Blazers go 1-3, but that, too, needs the Chiefs to go 4-0 the rest of the way.
Chances for San Sebastian are much of the same as to that of Arellano's, needing a sweep of its next games versus the vengeful Perpetual, a playoff-bound Letran, and fellow playoff-seeking teams Mapua and Arellano, while also needing the Blazers to go 0-4 the rest of the way.
Lose one, and the Golden Stags are out of the race.
The only way for EAC to squeak into the playoffs -- a first for the school -- is if St. Benilde loses all of its games and for the Generals to beat their remaining foes in Mapua, Perpetual, and JRU.
In that event, there will be a fourth-place playoff that would see both teams tied with 8-10 records.
Also-ran JRU is unaffected with the changes in the standings, except that it gains two wins to hike its record to 4-11.
The Heavy Bombers could also play a spoiler role for playoff-chasing squads with their next assignments against Arellano, EAC, and St. Benilde.
As expected, Perpetual will personify what people call as a "missed chance," with this season's host going from Final Four-bound to dead last with its 0-14 record.
The Altas, though, can still move to a ninth place tie if they go 4-0 in their remaining games against San Sebastian, EAC, Letran and San Beda and if JRU fails to score any more upsets.
The effect would also be felt individually as the loss of games would take a big hit in Prince Eze's case for the Most Valuable Player award.
Perpetual missing the Final Four would gravely affect his chances, much like how it did last season despite the Nigerian big man being the runaway leader in the statistical points race.
Moreover, Eze is set to lose all of the won game bonus gained from the Altas' victories in the race to the plum, taking him out and surrendering the hardware to stats leader and reigning MVP CJ Perez of Lyceum.